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Red149
23335.9
406338.4
408717.3
Blue160
384727.9
348137.4
581921.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1141036080140160180149160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.40.3
38.038.3
Auto10.0
Teleop21.6
End6.8
red by 1.0
37.40.2
37.037.2
Auto10.2
Teleop22.0
End5.1
Second
233
#3
35.90.3
35.535.8
Auto10.7
Teleop19.9
End5.3
red by 8.0
3847
#14
27.90.3
27.527.8
Auto9.3
Teleop15.6
End3.1
Third
4087
#30
17.30.4
16.917.2
Auto4.3
Teleop11.1
End1.9
blue by 4.2
5819
#17
21.50.3
21.121.4
Auto4.3
Teleop13.0
End4.2