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Quarterfinal 3-12016 Bayou Regional
Red79
384727.9
348137.4
581921.5
Blue104
399129.3
28126.4
191227.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9910740608012014016018079104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3481
#2
37.40.1
35.8→35.7
Auto10.2
Teleop22.0
End5.1
red by 8.0
3991
#11
29.30.1
29.8→29.7
Auto5.5
Teleop19.4
End4.4
Second
3847
#14
27.90.1
26.0→25.9
Auto9.3
Teleop15.6
End3.1
red by 0.9
1912
#12
27.00.1
27.5→27.4
Auto8.0
Teleop14.9
End4.0
Third
5819
#17
21.50.1
19.6→19.6
Auto4.3
Teleop13.0
End4.2
blue by 4.8
281
#9
26.40.1
26.9→26.7
Auto7.3
Teleop15.2
End3.9