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Red30
420913.0
405312.7
181821.2
Blue79
23335.9
497818.3
192725.7
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32710204060801001203079

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1818
#19
21.20.7
14.413.7
Auto7.7
Teleop9.5
End4.0
blue by 14.7
233
#3
35.90.8
33.834.6
Auto10.7
Teleop19.9
End5.3
Second
4209
#32
13.00.7
10.810.1
Auto4.2
Teleop6.3
End2.4
blue by 12.8
1927
#16
25.71.2
17.819.0
Auto4.2
Teleop18.0
End3.5
Third
4053
#46
12.70.7
11.410.7
Auto1.5
Teleop9.5
End1.7
blue by 5.6
4978
#27
18.31.2
11.813.0
Auto3.2
Teleop11.8
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
21%Breach oddsMissed71%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed