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Red91
45633.5
59012.3
586320.6
Blue67
208019.6
192011.4
541020.3
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions554302060801009167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
456
#5
33.53.3
27.931.1
Auto10.4
Teleop17.3
End5.9
red by 13.3
5410
#36
20.31.6
17.919.5
Auto6.5
Teleop11.1
End2.6
Second
5863
#39
20.63.3
15.118.4
Auto5.7
Teleop12.0
End2.8
red by 0.9
2080
#45
19.62.6
17.520.1
Auto3.2
Teleop13.3
End3.2
Third
590
#53
12.33.3
8.511.8
Auto2.8
Teleop7.1
End2.4
red by 0.8
1920
#55
11.42.6
8.310.9
Auto2.6
Teleop8.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
37%Breach oddsEarned44%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed