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Red54
599719.6
375320.0
394617.5
Blue70
587214.9
366625.8
222118.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4344102030405060705470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3753
#35
20.00.7
15.716.4
Auto6.0
Teleop10.8
End3.2
blue by 5.8
25.82.5
19.421.9
Auto8.9
Teleop12.7
End4.3
Second
5997
#22
19.60.7
13.814.5
Auto7.9
Teleop8.2
End3.5
red by 1.1
2221
#24
18.42.5
11.413.9
Auto5.6
Teleop9.6
End3.2
Third
3946
#18
17.50.7
13.213.9
Auto2.3
Teleop13.2
End2.0
red by 2.6
5872
#41
14.92.5
11.714.2
Auto3.0
Teleop9.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
40%Breach oddsEarned24%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed