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Qual 332016 Bayou Regional
Red57
532511.5
384727.9
299223.0
Blue45
333719.5
181821.2
610310.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5635020801005745

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3847
#14
27.90.6
21.6→22.3
Auto9.3
Teleop15.6
End3.1
red by 6.7
1818
#19
21.20.3
13.7→13.4
Auto7.7
Teleop9.5
End4.0
Second
2992
#10
23.00.6
19.1→19.7
Auto7.3
Teleop12.7
End3.0
red by 3.4
3337
#50
19.50.3
16.5→16.2
Auto7.0
Teleop9.3
End3.2
Third
5325
#38
11.50.6
10.5→11.2
Auto1.8
Teleop7.9
End1.8
red by 1.1
6103
#51
10.40.3
7.1→6.9
Auto1.5
Teleop8.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
38%Breach oddsEarned31%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed