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Qual 382016 Bayou Regional
Red78
303933.7
384727.9
222118.4
Blue65
595318.5
541020.3
366625.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70490204060801001207865

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3039
#4
33.70.6
28.6→29.2
Auto6.6
Teleop22.5
End4.6
red by 7.9
3666
#8
25.81.0
21.9→22.8
Auto8.9
Teleop12.7
End4.3
Second
3847
#14
27.90.9
22.3→23.2
Auto9.3
Teleop15.6
End3.1
red by 7.6
5410
#36
20.30.6
18.4→19.0
Auto6.5
Teleop11.1
End2.6
Third
2221
#24
18.40.9
13.9→14.8
Auto5.6
Teleop9.6
End3.2
blue by 0.1
5953
#48
18.51.0
10.8→11.8
Auto3.1
Teleop12.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
57%Breach oddsEarned58%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed