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Qual 422016 Bayou Regional
Red65
394617.5
28126.4
480513.9
Blue44
360612.7
59012.3
258731.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54573040506070806544

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
281
#9
26.41.3
24.1→25.4
Auto7.3
Teleop15.2
End3.9
blue by 5.3
2587
#7
31.71.8
26.0→24.2
Auto9.4
Teleop16.9
End5.4
Second
3946
#18
17.51.3
13.9→15.2
Auto2.3
Teleop13.2
End2.0
red by 4.9
3606
#52
12.71.8
16.7→14.9
Auto3.9
Teleop7.3
End1.4
Third
4805
#33
13.91.3
15.0→16.4
Auto1.5
Teleop12.1
End0.3
red by 1.6
590
#53
12.31.8
12.5→10.7
Auto2.8
Teleop7.1
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
49%Breach oddsEarned41%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed