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Red75
36430.0
417916.0
405312.7
Blue65
303933.7
28126.4
131923.5
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4180020601001201407565

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
364
#15
30.02.7
24.226.9
Auto6.4
Teleop17.5
End6.1
blue by 3.7
33.70.8
29.929.1
Auto6.6
Teleop22.5
End4.6
Second
4179
#43
16.02.7
13.216.0
Auto2.3
Teleop11.7
End2.0
blue by 10.4
281
#9
26.41.3
24.723.4
Auto7.3
Teleop15.2
End3.9
Third
4053
#46
12.72.7
8.010.7
Auto1.5
Teleop9.5
End1.7
blue by 10.8
1319
#31
23.51.3
17.416.1
Auto5.3
Teleop12.9
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
24%Breach oddsEarned50%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed