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Red65
208019.6
578513.5
582919.3
Blue67
497818.3
234126.5
222118.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions405202060801006567

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2080
#45
19.62.2
15.317.5
Auto3.2
Teleop13.3
End3.2
blue by 6.8
2341
#29
26.52.1
21.223.2
Auto7.3
Teleop15.3
End4.0
Second
5829
#20
19.32.2
16.218.4
Auto6.7
Teleop9.4
End3.3
red by 0.9
2221
#24
18.42.1
13.916.0
Auto5.6
Teleop9.6
End3.2
Third
5785
#54
13.52.2
8.811.0
Auto2.1
Teleop7.8
End3.7
blue by 4.8
4978
#27
18.32.1
13.415.4
Auto3.2
Teleop11.8
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
25%Breach oddsEarned26%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed