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Red107
131923.5
406338.4
139815.4
Blue61
208019.6
587214.9
610310.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7040020608010012010761

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.42.9
34.237.1
Auto10.0
Teleop21.6
End6.8
red by 18.7
2080
#45
19.61.7
20.722.4
Auto3.2
Teleop13.3
End3.2
Second
1319
#31
23.54.2
17.221.4
Auto5.3
Teleop12.9
End5.3
red by 8.6
5872
#41
14.91.7
13.815.5
Auto3.0
Teleop9.9
End1.9
Third
1398
#34
15.42.9
12.415.3
Auto5.7
Teleop7.4
End2.3
red by 5.0
6103
#51
10.41.7
8.610.3
Auto1.5
Teleop8.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
65%Breach oddsEarned38%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed