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Qual 852016 Bayou Regional
Red75
408717.3
582919.3
23335.9
Blue48
218325.1
516823.4
480513.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7468204060801001207548

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
233
#3
35.90.1
35.2→35.1
Auto10.7
Teleop19.9
End5.3
red by 10.8
2183
#13
25.11.7
26.5→24.8
Auto5.8
Teleop16.2
End3.1
Second
5829
#20
19.30.1
19.1→19.0
Auto6.7
Teleop9.4
End3.3
blue by 4.1
5168
#21
23.41.7
25.1→23.4
Auto4.7
Teleop15.0
End3.7
Third
4087
#30
17.30.1
16.5→16.4
Auto4.3
Teleop11.1
End1.9
red by 3.4
4805
#33
13.91.7
15.6→13.9
Auto1.5
Teleop12.1
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
79%Breach oddsEarned71%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed