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Red56
586320.6
578513.5
139815.4
Blue98
394617.5
303933.7
399129.3
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4582020601001205698

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5863
#39
20.60.2
20.420.6
Auto5.7
Teleop12.0
End2.8
blue by 13.2
33.71.6
31.232.7
Auto6.6
Teleop22.5
End4.6
Second
1398
#34
15.40.1
15.315.4
Auto5.7
Teleop7.4
End2.3
blue by 13.9
3991
#11
29.32.1
27.729.8
Auto5.5
Teleop19.4
End4.4
Third
5785
#54
13.50.2
13.313.5
Auto2.1
Teleop7.8
End3.7
blue by 4.0
3946
#18
17.52.1
15.417.5
Auto2.3
Teleop13.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
18%Breach oddsMissed87%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned