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Red56
610310.4
595318.5
164920.4
Blue62
295012.6
28126.4
435318.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions505902040801001205662

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1649
#25
20.40.1
21.021.1
Auto4.8
Teleop11.4
End4.2
blue by 5.9
281
#9
26.40.5
26.326.9
Auto7.3
Teleop15.2
End3.9
Second
5953
#48
18.50.1
18.418.5
Auto3.1
Teleop12.5
End2.9
red by 0.2
4353
#26
18.30.5
17.818.3
Auto5.4
Teleop9.8
End3.1
Third
6103
#51
10.40.1
10.310.4
Auto1.5
Teleop8.0
End0.9
blue by 2.2
2950
#44
12.60.5
12.112.6
Auto0.9
Teleop9.4
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
51%Breach oddsMissed58%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed