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Semifinal 1-12016 Bayou Regional
Red158
23335.9
406338.4
408717.3
Blue76
218325.1
258731.7
582919.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1129440608012014016018015876

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.40.6
37.037.6
Auto10.0
Teleop21.6
End6.8
red by 6.7
31.70.0
31.831.8
Auto9.4
Teleop16.9
End5.4
Second
233
#3
35.90.6
34.635.1
Auto10.7
Teleop19.9
End5.3
red by 10.8
2183
#13
25.10.0
25.225.2
Auto5.8
Teleop16.2
End3.1
Third
4087
#30
17.30.7
15.716.4
Auto4.3
Teleop11.1
End1.9
blue by 2.0
5829
#20
19.30.0
19.519.5
Auto6.7
Teleop9.4
End3.3