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Red82
490829.1
500029.1
176118.4
Blue79
128920.7
542223.2
555631.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions686102040801001201408279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4908
#23
29.11.1
24.926.0
Auto6.1
Teleop19.1
End4.0
blue by 2.1
5556
#14
31.20.9
22.823.8
Auto8.7
Teleop15.9
End6.6
Second
5000
#12
29.11.3
23.725.0
Auto10.4
Teleop13.4
End5.4
red by 5.9
5422
#29
23.20.9
19.520.5
Auto8.1
Teleop10.6
End4.4
Third
1761
#24
18.41.1
16.217.4
Auto2.5
Teleop13.3
End2.6
blue by 2.2
1289
#35
20.70.9
17.618.5
Auto4.4
Teleop12.4
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
45%Breach oddsEarned51%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed