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Red72
23841.9
46726.9
207926.3
Blue69
378017.4
12535.3
6928.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions957602040601201401607269

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
238
#2
41.91.2
39.338.1
Auto13.5
Teleop23.0
End5.4
red by 6.6
125
#28
35.31.1
33.632.5
Auto12.5
Teleop19.3
End3.5
Second
467
#11
26.91.2
26.225.0
Auto4.6
Teleop17.9
End4.4
blue by 1.9
69
#9
28.81.1
26.525.4
Auto9.3
Teleop13.6
End5.9
Third
2079
#20
26.31.2
23.822.7
Auto9.7
Teleop12.7
End4.0
red by 9.0
3780
#21
17.41.1
15.013.9
Auto6.6
Teleop10.6
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned79%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed