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Red117
12535.3
12639.8
23841.9
Blue60
110029.3
128920.7
490829.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1217005010015020011760

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
238
#2
41.90.5
38.138.7
Auto13.5
Teleop23.0
End5.4
red by 12.6
29.31.0
29.128.1
Auto7.4
Teleop18.5
End3.4
Second
126
#3
39.80.5
38.238.8
Auto11.2
Teleop22.9
End5.7
red by 10.7
4908
#23
29.11.0
27.726.7
Auto6.1
Teleop19.1
End4.0
Third
125
#28
35.30.5
32.533.1
Auto12.5
Teleop19.3
End3.5
red by 14.6
1289
#35
20.71.0
18.017.0
Auto4.4
Teleop12.4
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned78%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
5%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed