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Red122
542223.2
24631.9
208428.0
Blue61
534721.2
176838.2
207926.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions797405010015020012261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
246
#4
31.91.0
30.031.0
Auto11.3
Teleop16.8
End3.8
blue by 6.3
1768
#13
38.20.8
32.631.8
Auto10.4
Teleop19.6
End8.2
Second
2084
#26
28.01.0
25.926.9
Auto9.4
Teleop15.2
End3.4
red by 1.7
2079
#20
26.30.8
22.721.9
Auto9.7
Teleop12.7
End4.0
Third
5422
#29
23.21.0
21.322.3
Auto8.1
Teleop10.6
End4.4
red by 2.0
5347
#32
21.20.8
17.516.7
Auto7.5
Teleop10.4
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
84%Breach oddsEarned80%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed