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Red78
207926.3
490829.1
378017.4
Blue72
196521.5
573529.2
271327.3
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions626540507080907872

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4908
#23
29.10.5
26.727.2
Auto6.1
Teleop19.1
End4.0
blue by 0.1
5735
#16
29.20.0
23.423.4
Auto2.9
Teleop21.6
End4.7
Second
2079
#20
26.30.5
21.922.4
Auto9.7
Teleop12.7
End4.0
blue by 1.0
2713
#17
27.30.0
21.621.5
Auto9.5
Teleop15.1
End2.8
Third
3780
#21
17.40.5
12.512.9
Auto6.6
Teleop10.6
End0.2
blue by 4.1
1965
#30
21.50.0
17.717.6
Auto6.4
Teleop10.1
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
60%Breach oddsEarned58%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed