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Red87
573529.2
46726.9
479617.8
Blue82
23841.9
242318.5
175726.8
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59910501001508782

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5735
#16
29.21.3
23.825.1
Auto2.9
Teleop21.6
End4.7
blue by 12.7
238
#2
41.90.1
40.039.9
Auto13.5
Teleop23.0
End5.4
Second
467
#11
26.91.3
24.926.2
Auto4.6
Teleop17.9
End4.4
red by 0.1
1757
#15
26.80.1
27.127.0
Auto7.5
Teleop15.0
End4.3
Third
4796
#38
17.81.3
14.015.2
Auto3.9
Teleop10.2
End3.7
blue by 0.7
2423
#36
18.50.1
17.116.9
Auto5.9
Teleop9.3
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
65%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned2%Capture oddsMissed