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Red105
542223.2
12639.8
287741.7
Blue50
175726.8
35556.6
573529.2
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11749010015020010550

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.70.0
41.341.4
Auto19.9
Teleop17.9
End3.9
red by 12.4
5735
#16
29.20.5
25.124.6
Auto2.9
Teleop21.6
End4.7
Second
126
#3
39.80.0
38.838.8
Auto11.2
Teleop22.9
End5.7
red by 13.0
1757
#15
26.80.5
27.026.4
Auto7.5
Teleop15.0
End4.3
Third
5422
#29
23.20.0
24.524.5
Auto8.1
Teleop10.6
End4.4
red by 16.6
3555
#40
6.60.5
6.15.6
Auto0.1
Teleop6.8
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned63%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
2%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed