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Red44
35556.6
346621.5
24631.9
Blue76
500029.1
207926.3
417628.1
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions588601001502004476

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
246
#4
31.91.1
33.132.0
Auto11.3
Teleop16.8
End3.8
red by 2.8
5000
#12
29.10.3
28.828.6
Auto10.4
Teleop13.4
End5.4
Second
3466
#39
21.51.1
22.121.0
Auto7.4
Teleop9.7
End4.4
blue by 6.5
4176
#18
28.10.3
26.926.6
Auto9.6
Teleop13.6
End4.8
Third
3555
#40
6.61.1
5.64.5
Auto0.1
Teleop6.8
End-0.2
blue by 19.8
2079
#20
26.30.3
24.223.9
Auto9.7
Teleop12.7
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
43%Breach oddsMissed73%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed