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Red75
573529.2
107318.5
110029.3
Blue46
35556.6
46726.9
584416.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7943020601001201407546

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.30.3
29.028.7
Auto7.4
Teleop18.5
End3.4
red by 2.5
467
#11
26.90.1
26.926.8
Auto4.6
Teleop17.9
End4.4
Second
5735
#16
29.20.4
23.523.1
Auto2.9
Teleop21.6
End4.7
red by 12.5
5844
#34
16.70.1
13.513.5
Auto4.6
Teleop10.2
End2.0
Third
1073
#37
18.50.3
17.417.0
Auto3.3
Teleop12.9
End2.3
red by 12.0
3555
#40
6.60.1
6.86.7
Auto0.1
Teleop6.8
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
77%Breach oddsEarned44%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed