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Red100
46726.9
175726.8
105844.3
Blue68
242318.5
417628.1
110029.3
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1047202040608012014016010068

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.30.1
42.942.8
Auto9.8
Teleop21.1
End13.4
red by 15.0
29.30.5
30.129.6
Auto7.4
Teleop18.5
End3.4
Second
467
#11
26.90.1
26.526.4
Auto4.6
Teleop17.9
End4.4
blue by 1.2
4176
#18
28.10.5
26.626.1
Auto9.6
Teleop13.6
End4.8
Third
1757
#15
26.80.1
27.127.0
Auto7.5
Teleop15.0
End4.3
red by 8.3
2423
#36
18.50.5
19.018.4
Auto5.9
Teleop9.3
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned65%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
8%Capture oddsEarned3%Capture oddsMissed