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Red101
110029.3
23841.9
500029.1
Blue115
346733.2
207926.3
287741.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10210650150200101115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
238
#2
41.90.2
40.740.4
Auto13.5
Teleop23.0
End5.4
red by 0.3
41.71.0
42.043.0
Auto19.9
Teleop17.9
End3.9
Second
29.30.2
29.629.4
Auto7.4
Teleop18.5
End3.4
blue by 3.9
33.21.0
33.434.4
Auto7.0
Teleop22.4
End3.8
Third
5000
#12
29.10.2
29.329.1
Auto10.4
Teleop13.4
End5.4
red by 2.8
2079
#20
26.31.0
24.525.5
Auto9.7
Teleop12.7
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned88%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
15%Capture oddsEarned4%Capture oddsEarned