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Red62
584416.7
175726.8
346621.5
Blue53
196521.5
378017.4
479617.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions705702040801001201406253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1757
#15
26.80.3
27.026.8
Auto7.5
Teleop15.0
End4.3
red by 5.3
1965
#30
21.50.3
21.821.5
Auto6.4
Teleop10.1
End5.0
Second
3466
#39
21.50.3
21.821.5
Auto7.4
Teleop9.7
End4.4
red by 3.8
4796
#38
17.80.3
18.117.8
Auto3.9
Teleop10.2
End3.7
Third
5844
#34
16.70.3
17.016.7
Auto4.6
Teleop10.2
End2.0
blue by 0.7
3780
#21
17.40.3
17.717.4
Auto6.6
Teleop10.6
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
74%Breach oddsEarned48%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed