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Red170
176838.2
105844.3
556325.0
Blue64
81127.0
110029.3
490829.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13310505015020025017064

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.30.2
43.543.7
Auto9.8
Teleop21.1
End13.4
red by 15.0
29.30.5
29.829.3
Auto7.4
Teleop18.5
End3.4
Second
1768
#13
38.20.2
37.337.6
Auto10.4
Teleop19.6
End8.2
red by 9.0
4908
#23
29.10.5
29.629.1
Auto6.1
Teleop19.1
End4.0
Third
5563
#19
25.00.2
24.224.4
Auto2.4
Teleop16.9
End5.7
blue by 1.9
811
#25
27.00.5
27.527.0
Auto4.2
Teleop16.1
End6.7