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Red135
15532.1
19540.8
346130.5
Blue101
500023.7
8830.7
584619.1
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1208450100150200135101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#4
40.80.5
37.337.8
Auto9.7
Teleop25.2
End5.8
red by 10.1
88
#7
30.70.2
30.830.9
Auto7.5
Teleop17.5
End5.7
Second
155
#15
32.10.5
28.629.1
Auto8.7
Teleop16.3
End7.0
red by 8.3
5000
#13
23.70.2
23.824.0
Auto8.0
Teleop12.7
End3.0
Third
3461
#16
30.50.5
27.127.5
Auto9.0
Teleop17.1
End4.4
red by 11.4
5846
#17
19.10.2
19.219.4
Auto7.4
Teleop9.7
End2.1