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Red40
415118.5
417621.9
479614.5
Blue78
511223.2
323621.9
595812.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48510204060801001204078

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4176
#20
21.90.5
19.118.6
Auto5.8
Teleop11.9
End4.2
blue by 1.3
5112
#25
23.22.7
20.423.1
Auto10.8
Teleop9.9
End2.6
Second
4151
#24
18.50.5
16.716.2
Auto2.9
Teleop13.5
End2.1
blue by 3.5
21.91.6
15.617.3
Auto7.0
Teleop11.7
End3.2
Third
4796
#31
14.50.8
11.610.8
Auto1.3
Teleop9.1
End4.1
red by 2.3
5958
#29
12.12.7
12.615.3
Auto2.3
Teleop7.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
18%Breach oddsMissed21%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed