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Red71
395820.8
19540.8
549411.6
Blue82
417621.9
511223.2
23036.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions757550607080901007182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#4
40.80.7
34.533.8
Auto9.7
Teleop25.2
End5.8
red by 4.1
230
#6
36.70.6
32.533.0
Auto10.5
Teleop22.5
End3.7
Second
3958
#22
20.80.4
24.223.8
Auto5.3
Teleop11.6
End3.8
blue by 2.5
5112
#25
23.20.9
22.223.2
Auto10.8
Teleop9.9
End2.6
Third
5494
#32
11.60.7
13.312.6
Auto1.9
Teleop8.8
End1.0
blue by 10.3
4176
#20
21.90.6
18.919.5
Auto5.8
Teleop11.9
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
56%Breach oddsEarned53%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed