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Red49
584619.1
549411.6
34823.2
Blue88
17632.3
107121.7
417621.9
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51792040601001201404988

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
348
#19
23.20.7
24.824.2
Auto7.7
Teleop11.5
End3.9
blue by 9.1
176
#5
32.31.0
32.133.2
Auto8.5
Teleop19.0
End4.8
Second
5846
#17
19.11.1
16.615.5
Auto7.4
Teleop9.7
End2.1
blue by 2.8
4176
#20
21.91.0
19.520.5
Auto5.8
Teleop11.9
End4.2
Third
5494
#32
11.61.1
12.611.5
Auto1.9
Teleop8.8
End1.0
blue by 10.0
1071
#21
21.71.0
20.821.8
Auto7.3
Teleop10.6
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
51%Breach oddsMissed38%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed