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Red67
415118.5
584619.1
112428.5
Blue74
490824.9
9529.5
395820.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67782040601001201406774

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.50.0
28.428.5
Auto6.8
Teleop18.8
End2.9
blue by 1.0
95
#2
29.50.4
28.728.3
Auto8.0
Teleop16.7
End4.8
Second
5846
#17
19.10.0
19.719.7
Auto7.4
Teleop9.7
End2.1
blue by 5.7
4908
#18
24.90.4
23.523.1
Auto5.3
Teleop15.8
End3.8
Third
4151
#24
18.50.0
18.418.4
Auto2.9
Teleop13.5
End2.1
blue by 2.3
3958
#22
20.80.4
22.221.8
Auto5.3
Teleop11.6
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
43%Breach oddsMissed69%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed