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Red108
23036.7
17820.0
18132.7
Blue73
620118.6
135018.8
417621.9
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9153020408010012014010873

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#6
36.71.0
34.535.5
Auto10.5
Teleop22.5
End3.7
red by 14.8
4176
#20
21.91.0
20.921.9
Auto5.8
Teleop11.9
End4.2
Second
181
#3
32.71.3
29.630.9
Auto10.8
Teleop16.3
End5.6
red by 13.9
1350
#26
18.81.2
17.718.9
Auto7.4
Teleop9.1
End2.4
Third
178
#12
20.01.0
18.419.4
Auto6.4
Teleop10.3
End3.3
red by 1.4
6201
#28
18.61.0
19.220.2
Auto6.1
Teleop8.9
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
76%Breach oddsEarned31%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed