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Red39
511223.2
415118.5
620118.6
Blue53
500023.7
34823.2
10277.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65592040801001203953

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5112
#25
23.21.8
24.222.5
Auto10.8
Teleop9.9
End2.6
blue by 0.5
5000
#13
23.71.7
25.423.8
Auto8.0
Teleop12.7
End3.0
Second
6201
#28
18.61.6
20.218.6
Auto6.1
Teleop8.9
End3.6
blue by 4.6
348
#19
23.21.4
24.723.3
Auto7.7
Teleop11.5
End3.9
Third
4151
#24
18.51.6
18.416.8
Auto2.9
Teleop13.5
End2.1
red by 11.5
1027
#30
7.01.4
8.37.0
Auto3.0
Teleop4.3
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
31%Breach oddsMissed56%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed