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Red70
511223.2
135018.8
19540.8
Blue79
7834.4
346130.5
18132.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions747240506080901007079

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#4
40.80.6
34.133.6
Auto9.7
Teleop25.2
End5.8
red by 6.4
78
#1
34.40.6
31.331.9
Auto10.2
Teleop19.2
End5.0
Second
5112
#25
23.20.6
20.920.4
Auto10.8
Teleop9.9
End2.6
blue by 9.5
181
#3
32.70.9
22.022.9
Auto10.8
Teleop16.3
End5.6
Third
1350
#26
18.80.6
15.014.4
Auto7.4
Teleop9.1
End2.4
blue by 11.7
3461
#16
30.50.9
17.318.2
Auto9.0
Teleop17.1
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
49%Breach oddsMissed77%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed