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Red126
17632.3
7834.4
511223.2
Blue190
15532.1
19540.8
346130.5
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1071216080140160180200126190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#1
34.40.2
33.834.0
Auto10.2
Teleop19.2
End5.0
blue by 6.4
195
#4
40.81.0
38.739.7
Auto9.7
Teleop25.2
End5.8
Second
176
#5
32.30.2
31.831.9
Auto8.5
Teleop19.0
End4.8
red by 0.3
155
#15
32.11.0
30.030.9
Auto8.7
Teleop16.3
End7.0
Third
5112
#25
23.20.2
22.722.8
Auto10.8
Teleop9.9
End2.6
blue by 7.3
3461
#16
30.51.0
28.429.4
Auto9.0
Teleop17.1
End4.4