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Red127
17632.3
7834.4
511223.2
Blue127
15532.1
19540.8
346130.5
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10712550150200127127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#1
34.40.4
34.034.4
Auto10.2
Teleop19.2
End5.0
blue by 6.4
195
#4
40.80.2
39.739.8
Auto9.7
Teleop25.2
End5.8
Second
176
#5
32.30.4
31.932.3
Auto8.5
Teleop19.0
End4.8
red by 0.3
155
#15
32.10.2
30.931.1
Auto8.7
Teleop16.3
End7.0
Third
5112
#25
23.20.4
22.823.2
Auto10.8
Teleop9.9
End2.6
blue by 7.3
3461
#16
30.50.2
29.429.6
Auto9.0
Teleop17.1
End4.4