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Red99
152819.9
5130.6
496747.2
Blue96
57338.7
439530.8
283447.1
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96124501502009996

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4967
Unranked
47.20.0
47.247.2
Auto8.7
Teleop30.7
End7.9
red by 0.2
2834
Unranked
47.10.0
47.147.1
Auto12.9
Teleop29.3
End4.8
Second
51
Unranked
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto11.5
Teleop15.9
End3.2
blue by 8.1
573
Unranked
38.70.0
38.738.7
Auto9.7
Teleop24.7
End4.4
Third
1528
Unranked
19.90.0
19.919.9
Auto5.0
Teleop13.3
End1.5
blue by 10.9
4395
Unranked
30.80.0
30.830.8
Auto8.6
Teleop15.8
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach odds97%Breach odds
Capture
24%Capture odds72%Capture odds