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Red90
496747.2
30234.7
57338.7
Blue100
505044.6
171848.8
50342.0
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1211425010020090100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4967
Unranked
47.20.0
47.247.2
Auto8.7
Teleop30.7
End7.9
blue by 1.5
1718
Unranked
48.80.0
48.848.8
Auto10.7
Teleop32.0
End6.1
Second
573
Unranked
38.70.0
38.738.7
Auto9.7
Teleop24.7
End4.4
blue by 5.8
5050
Unranked
44.60.0
44.644.6
Auto10.4
Teleop26.5
End7.6
Third
302
Unranked
34.70.0
34.734.7
Auto8.9
Teleop15.2
End10.6
blue by 7.3
503
Unranked
42.00.0
42.042.0
Auto10.2
Teleop21.3
End10.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach odds96%Breach odds
Capture
38%Capture odds84%Capture odds