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Red76
191851.6
152819.9
332220.9
Blue97
171848.8
543625.0
283230.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions921100501502007697

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1918
Unranked
51.60.0
51.651.6
Auto13.5
Teleop27.9
End10.2
red by 2.8
1718
Unranked
48.80.0
48.848.8
Auto10.7
Teleop32.0
End6.1
Second
3322
Unranked
20.90.0
20.920.9
Auto5.8
Teleop13.0
End2.0
blue by 9.8
2832
Unranked
30.70.0
30.730.7
Auto10.2
Teleop14.6
End5.8
Third
1528
Unranked
19.90.0
19.919.9
Auto5.0
Teleop13.3
End1.5
blue by 5.2
5436
Unranked
25.00.0
25.025.0
Auto6.1
Teleop14.9
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach odds96%Breach odds
Capture
5%Capture odds4%Capture odds