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Red87
7043.7
283230.7
332220.9
Blue83
439530.8
5130.6
569520.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101820501508783

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70
Unranked
43.70.0
43.743.7
Auto14.0
Teleop25.2
End4.5
red by 12.9
4395
Unranked
30.80.0
30.830.8
Auto8.6
Teleop15.8
End6.4
Second
2832
Unranked
30.70.0
30.730.7
Auto10.2
Teleop14.6
End5.8
red by 0.1
51
Unranked
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto11.5
Teleop15.9
End3.2
Third
3322
Unranked
20.90.0
20.920.9
Auto5.8
Teleop13.0
End2.0
Level
5695
Unranked
20.90.0
20.920.9
Auto4.1
Teleop12.5
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach odds89%Breach odds
Capture
6%Capture odds27%Capture odds