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Red142
107627.4
505044.6
49451.5
Blue87
152819.9
5130.6
283447.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1339505015020025030014287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
Unranked
51.50.0
51.551.5
Auto15.8
Teleop29.6
End6.1
red by 4.4
2834
Unranked
47.10.0
47.147.1
Auto12.9
Teleop29.3
End4.8
Second
5050
Unranked
44.60.0
44.644.6
Auto10.4
Teleop26.5
End7.6
red by 14.0
51
Unranked
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto11.5
Teleop15.9
End3.2
Third
1076
Unranked
27.40.0
27.427.4
Auto8.2
Teleop14.1
End5.1
red by 7.6
1528
Unranked
19.90.0
19.919.9
Auto5.0
Teleop13.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach odds97%Breach odds
Capture
56%Capture odds27%Capture odds