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Red77
5130.6
54842.9
191851.6
Blue104
496747.2
233734.9
107627.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1321095010015020077104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1918
Unranked
51.60.0
51.651.6
Auto13.5
Teleop27.9
End10.2
red by 4.3
4967
Unranked
47.20.0
47.247.2
Auto8.7
Teleop30.7
End7.9
Second
548
Unranked
42.90.0
42.942.9
Auto9.6
Teleop28.3
End5.0
red by 8.0
2337
Unranked
34.90.0
34.934.9
Auto9.4
Teleop21.7
End3.8
Third
51
Unranked
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto11.5
Teleop15.9
End3.2
red by 3.2
1076
Unranked
27.40.0
27.427.4
Auto8.2
Teleop14.1
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach odds98%Breach odds
Capture
67%Capture odds40%Capture odds