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Red87
91041.6
496747.2
30234.7
Blue128
283447.1
233734.9
569520.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15813404006008001,0001,20087128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4967
Unranked
47.20.0
47.247.2
Auto8.7
Teleop30.7
End7.9
red by 0.2
2834
Unranked
47.10.0
47.147.1
Auto12.9
Teleop29.3
End4.8
Second
910
Unranked
41.60.0
41.641.6
Auto18.1
Teleop18.4
End5.1
red by 6.7
2337
Unranked
34.90.0
34.934.9
Auto9.4
Teleop21.7
End3.8
Third
302
Unranked
34.70.0
34.734.7
Auto8.9
Teleop15.2
End10.6
red by 13.8
5695
Unranked
20.90.0
20.920.9
Auto4.1
Teleop12.5
End4.3