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Red123
105831.5
31933.7
616122.5
Blue90
393030.2
490533.2
169924.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1101099010012013012390

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#1
33.70.1
33.633.7
Auto5.8
Teleop19.8
End8.1
red by 0.5
33.20.4
33.733.2
Auto11.1
Teleop16.4
End5.8
Second
31.50.1
31.431.5
Auto9.5
Teleop15.0
End7.0
red by 1.3
30.20.4
30.630.2
Auto7.2
Teleop17.6
End5.4
Third
6161
#19
22.50.1
22.322.5
Auto9.1
Teleop9.4
End3.9
blue by 1.8
1699
#28
24.20.4
24.624.2
Auto9.3
Teleop10.4
End4.5