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Red32
596912.1
616122.5
545917.8
Blue52
287625.5
516312.2
492923.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions405102060801003252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6161
#19
22.51.0
13.112.1
Auto9.1
Teleop9.4
End3.9
blue by 3.0
25.50.0
20.820.7
Auto9.2
Teleop14.6
End1.6
Second
5459
#27
17.81.0
13.912.9
Auto4.8
Teleop10.8
End2.1
blue by 5.9
23.70.0
13.813.8
Auto7.1
Teleop11.1
End5.5
Third
5969
#36
12.11.0
13.812.8
Auto2.5
Teleop8.1
End1.5
Level
5163
#39
12.20.0
12.812.8
Auto3.0
Teleop7.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
27%Breach oddsMissed35%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed