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Red82
128917.6
555622.8
31933.7
Blue45
24618.6
242314.9
15119.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions616502040801001201408245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#1
33.71.1
23.324.4
Auto5.8
Teleop19.8
End8.1
red by 14.3
151
#25
19.42.5
18.816.3
Auto5.2
Teleop11.2
End3.0
Second
5556
#14
22.81.1
17.518.6
Auto6.9
Teleop11.8
End4.2
red by 4.2
246
#37
18.62.5
25.823.3
Auto4.5
Teleop11.8
End2.4
Third
1289
#26
17.61.1
10.912.1
Auto2.7
Teleop10.3
End4.6
red by 2.7
2423
#30
14.92.5
18.015.5
Auto4.7
Teleop9.9
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
41%Breach oddsEarned46%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed