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Red59
50122.2
24618.6
534715.4
Blue66
575221.3
242314.9
208430.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions494940455560655966

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
501
#18
22.21.4
15.717.1
Auto9.7
Teleop10.2
End2.3
blue by 7.8
30.02.0
17.719.7
Auto10.2
Teleop15.4
End4.4
Second
246
#37
18.61.4
20.321.7
Auto4.5
Teleop11.8
End2.4
blue by 2.7
5752
#15
21.32.0
19.521.5
Auto7.0
Teleop9.7
End4.6
Third
5347
#35
15.41.4
10.511.9
Auto6.3
Teleop6.1
End3.0
red by 0.6
2423
#30
14.92.0
10.912.9
Auto4.7
Teleop9.9
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
27%Breach oddsEarned32%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed