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Red56
417618.4
5824.0
9712.5
Blue56
490925.2
545917.8
107314.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions534601001505656

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58
#12
24.0
Auto4.3
Teleop14.6
End5.1
blue by 1.2
4909
#10
25.2
Auto7.9
Teleop12.6
End4.7
Second
4176
#29
18.4
Auto4.5
Teleop11.7
End2.2
red by 0.6
5459
#27
17.8
Auto4.8
Teleop10.8
End2.1
Third
97
#31
12.5
Auto2.4
Teleop9.3
End0.7
blue by 2.1
1073
#21
14.7
Auto5.1
Teleop8.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
37%Breach oddsMissed30%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed